So, let me tell you about my journey with predicting FPL price changes. It all started when I got really into Fantasy Premier League. I was always looking for an edge, trying to figure out which players were going to increase in price and which ones were going to tank.
I began by just casually observing the trends. I’d check the FPL website every day, looking at the price movements of different players. I noticed that some players would go up in price after a few good performances, while others seemed to stay stagnant no matter what.
Then, I decided to get a bit more serious. I started keeping a spreadsheet. Every week, I’d record the stats of the players I was interested in – goals, assists, clean sheets, you name it. I also jotted down how their prices changed.
I talked to other FPL enthusiasts in online forums. We’d share our thoughts on which players were hot and which were not. Some of them had their own methods of predicting price changes, like looking at a player’s upcoming fixtures.
After a few months of this, I thought I had a pretty good system going. I’d use my spreadsheet to analyze the data and make predictions. I’d even start making transfers in my FPL team based on these predictions.
But, as you can imagine, it wasn’t always smooth sailing. There were times when a player I thought was going to skyrocket in price ended up having a terrible game and their price dropped. And there were other times when a player I didn’t expect to move much suddenly shot up in value.
Despite the setbacks, I kept at it. I refined my system, adding more factors to consider, like a player’s form compared to their team’s overall performance. I also started looking at the historical data of price changes for different positions.
Over time, I got better at it. I was able to make more accurate predictions, and it really paid off in my FPL rankings. I was able to transfer in players before their prices went up and transfer out before they dropped.
So, that’s my story of how I became a bit of an FPL price change predictor. It wasn’t easy, but with a lot of observation, data – keeping, and learning from my mistakes, I was able to develop a system that works for me. Maybe you can try some of these methods in your own FPL journey!