Alright, so folks, this FPL price rise thing? Yeah, been chasing that buzz for ages. Everyone talks about it like it’s magic free money, right? Seemed simple enough: buy players about to get more expensive, sell ’em after. Easy cash! But my early stabs? Total mess. Like, buying defenders just ’cause they might play if someone else got injured? Dumb. Lost points waiting for miracles that never happened.
Then it hit me: chasing price rises is like chasing squirrels. You gotta be smart, not frantic. Started digging into how it actually worked.
- First thing: Realized most price changes happen late, like after midnight. Stupid me was making moves right after the games ended!
- Second: Found out the whole ‘price rise prediction’ sites? They’re making educated guesses, not promises. Was treating ’em like gospel before.
- Third: Watched actual price changes for weeks. Saw how teams doing well got quicker rises, even if the players weren’t amazing. The team vibe matters.
So I started this little checklist:
- Check the stats every Monday morning after the weekend games. See who played well, who got injured in training? Tuesday’s the real gossip day.
- Peek at the prediction sites around Tuesday tea time. Don’t treat ’em as holy texts, just like… rumours down the pub.
- Ask myself: Is this player actually good, or just cheap? Falling into the cheap trap hurt me bad before. If he’s rubbish, skip!
- Ask: Is his team flying? If the whole side’s winning, even the cheap ones get price bumps faster.
- Ask: Is he likely to play? No point in a bargain rotting on the bench.
If I got mostly ‘yes’ ticks? I’d grab them Tuesday night or early Wednesday. Give it time. My dumbest mistake was panic-buying Thursday evening when the predictor sites lit up red. Often, it was too late!
Held onto these guys for the gameweek or maybe two tops. Wasn’t building long-term squads here, just playing the price game. If his price went up by 0.2? Boom, made my 0.1 profit when I eventually sold him later (even if it meant swapping him out for someone else later).
The key? Patience and discipline. Sticking to the checklist. Didn’t chase every rumour, just the ones ticking my boxes. Didn’t always work! Brought in that defender from Arsenal early season ’cause their fixtures looked tasty, he got benched next gameweek. But sticking to the rules meant the fails were smaller.
End of the day, it’s pocket change. 0.1 here, 0.1 there. But over a whole season? Slowly, steadily, my team value crept up way higher than before. Let me afford bigger guns later without taking stupid point hits. No magic tricks, just sticking to a plan and dodging the hype.