My FPL Price Change Journey
Alright, so I finally decided to figure out how Fantasy Premier League player prices actually move. Saw my team value dipping and rising like crazy and had no clue why. Figured other beginners probably struggle too, so here’s my messy process.
Started simple. Thought it was just about goals and assists, right? Wrong. Opened the app daily, started monitoring just one midfielder. Watched him like a hawk. He scored a goal on Saturday, I expected his price to jump Monday morning. Nothing happened. Felt confused. Kept checking, annoyed.
Googled around, found scraps of info. Realized transfers IN and OUT matter a ton. Not just points. Okay, that made sense. More people want him, price should go up. But then I saw players with loads of transfers in not moving price? Got frustrated.
- First Step: Observed a cheap defender getting lots of early transfers after one decent game. His price didn’t budge immediately. Felt weird.
- Second Step: Noticed he needed a TON of transfers coming in over several days. Like thousands.
- Big Mistake: Panicked when one of my players had rumours of injury. Transferred him out quick, same night. Next day, saw his price RISE before his “injury” vanished. Kicked myself.
Figured out the timing is super sneaky. Price changes happen overnight, around 1-2 AM UK time. So transfers happening after that deadline? They count for the NEXT night. Missed that completely at first. Made bad transfers late evening, expecting an immediate change. Nope. Woke up disappointed.
The worst part? Seeing a price DROP hit one of my key players who had a bad game. Lost value overnight. Felt robbed. Learned the hard way that if loads of managers ditch a player fast, especially after a poor performance, that price can sink before you blink. Held onto a defender who blanked twice… saw him drop 0.2m in just a few days. Gut punch.
Key Takeaways for Newbies:
- Don’t panic transfer based on rumours right before the deadline. You might lose value.
- Check price change prediction sites daily. They guess based on transfer trends.
- Big price swings need massive transfer numbers over days, not hours.
- Overnight changes mean transfers today affect prices TOMORROW.
- Team value matters for buying better players later. Protect it!
Honestly, it’s less scary once you know the mechanics. Still feels random sometimes, but at least now I understand why my money disappears overnight!