So, last weekend, I found myself in a deep, dark hole of football stats, all thanks to a truly absurd argument with my buddy, Gary. You know Gary—he thinks he’s Pep Guardiola because he once managed a youth team that came third in a five-team local league tournament. Anyway, we were texting, and the topic drifted to the Euros. He starts banging on about how Croatia’s midfield magic is just going to steamroll Portugal, saying Ronaldo’s time is done, blah, blah, blah.

I told him he needed to slow his roll. Portugal is built different right now. But he wouldn’t budge. He kept throwing out vague feelings and “eye tests.” I knew the only way to silence Gary was to hit him with the concrete, undeniable truth: their historical head-to-head record. This wasn’t about current form; this was about checking the ledger. Who owns this rivalry? I decided right then that I was going to pull every single record and post it, just to prove a point.
The Scramble for the Raw Data
My first move was obvious: I grabbed my coffee, sat down, and started digging deep. I needed the full, verified history, not just what popped up on the first Google search page. I didn’t trust those quick summaries. You gotta cross-check everything, especially when your reputation (and bragging rights over Gary) is on the line.
I went through the archives, pulling up every competitive match and every single friendly that these two nations have ever played. It took a solid three hours of squinting at screen after screen, verifying the dates and the final scores. What I found was honestly staggering, even to me. I had assumed it was tight, maybe a slight edge to Portugal. Nope. Not even close.
I compiled my findings into a simple running tally. This is how I broke down the head-to-head record (H2H):
- Total matches played (since 1996): Seven.
- Portugal Wins: Seven.
- Croatia Wins: Zero.
- Draws: Zero.
Think about that for a minute. Seven times they’ve lined up, and Croatia hasn’t managed to get a single win, not even a garbage-time friendly. That is total, psychological domination. I cross-referenced the results to make sure I wasn’t missing a tricky Nations League match or some forgotten qualifying game. Every source confirmed the same pattern. Portugal holds the keys to this particular rivalry.

The Deep Dive into the Matches Themselves
Just the final count wasn’t enough to satisfy my need for detail, or my need to rub it in Gary’s face effectively. I had to know the context of those seven wins. Were they narrow escapes, or were they proper beatdowns?
I examined the crucial tournament matchups. The most famous one, of course, was the Euro 2016 Round of 16 clash. That game was brutal—nerves everywhere, 0-0 after 90 minutes. But what happened? Quaresma scores in the 117th minute. Portugal found the key when Croatia couldn’t. Even when Croatia had their absolute golden generation, they couldn’t break the seal.
Then I looked at the recent results. The most recent match was a 3-2 victory for Portugal in 2020. That game showed that even when the teams are evenly matched on paper, Portugal still just finds a way. It’s a mentality thing at this point, I reckon. It’s like Croatia sees the red shirts and just freezes up.
My conclusion started solidifying: the H2H wasn’t just a fun fact; it was a predictor of mental weakness. If you’ve played a team seven times and never won, the next time you face them, that zero is weighing on every single player.
Drawing the Final Conclusion and Dropping the Hammer
After all this digging, charting, and verifying, I was ready for the payoff. My practice record was complete. The question was simple: Portugal national football team vs Croatia: Who is better?

Based purely on the head-to-head record, there is no argument. None. Zero wins means zero better. While I respect the hell out of Modric and what Croatia has accomplished in the World Cups—two straight semi-finals appearances is insane—when they line up against Portugal, history says they choke. Maybe it’s bad luck, maybe it’s a tactical mismatch, but whatever it is, Portugal has them beat before they even step onto the pitch.
I wrote up the final summary for Gary. I didn’t send a long rambling text. I just sent him the tally:
Portugal vs Croatia H2H:
- Total Played: 7
- Portugal W: 7
- Croatia W: 0
I followed it up with a simple note: “Next time, check the receipts before you open your mouth.”
He didn’t reply for an hour, which is basically an admission of defeat in our friendship rules. When he finally did, it was just a grumpy emoji. Job done. My research validated my initial feeling, but more importantly, it was a practical demonstration of how to actually settle a disagreement: stop yelling opinions, and start tracking verifiable history. That’s the real lesson from this little exercise. And that, folks, is how I spent my Saturday avoiding painting the garage.

